← All projects

PROJECT 062 / 102 · Commerce

Returning and new visitor behavior.

Do recorded visitor types differ in purchase conversion and product engagement?

Focused analytical studyOnline shoppersExecuted notebook

THE RESULT

What the data shows

The largest computed metric is 0.2491 for New_Visitor; the smallest is 0.1393 for Returning_Visitor. Metric: rate (Purchase-session share).

Visitor labels do not identify individual customers or lifetime value.

Returning and new visitor behavior — chart from the computed study output
Computed study output. Full values and units are available in the results download.
Computed results · 3 of 3 rows. Values rounded for display; source units and raw column names are retained in the download.
visitortypeeventsnratewilson lowerwilson uppermedian product pagesmedian product seconds
New_Visitor4221,6940.24910.22910.270313414.2
Other16850.18820.11930.28415136.5
Returning_Visitor1,47010,5510.13930.13280.146119655.5
Download the complete result table ↓

THE METHOD

From source to answer

Conversion intervals joined to median product-page engagement.

The Python source exposes this study’s transformations. The complete project download includes shared preparation and evaluation routines.

THE NEXT DECISION

What follows from the finding

Separate retention and acquisition hypotheses before designing an experiment.

Where the conclusion stops

One observation is a completed session. End-of-session behavior cannot support an early-session prediction claim. PageValues is excluded from purchase models because it can encode downstream purchase information. Associations are not experiment results.

Related studies may reuse observations or holdouts. These are historical analyses; associations and backtests do not demonstrate commercial impact. Further model tuning needs new, untouched evaluation data.