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PROJECT 051 / 102 · Energy

Random-variable negative controls.

How do source-supplied random controls compare with measured variables in an association screen?

Focused analytical studyAppliance energyExecuted notebook

THE RESULT

What the data shows

The largest computed metric is 0.3024 for lights; the smallest is -0.009289 for rv2. Metric: spearman_rho (Spearman correlation).

rv1 and rv2 are explicitly source-generated random controls, not physical measurements. The remaining energy and sensor observations are real.

Random-variable negative controls — chart from the computed study output
Computed study output. Full values and units are available in the results download.
Computed results · 6 of 6 rows. Values rounded for display; source units and raw column names are retained in the download.
featurespearman rhoabsolute rhopaired rows
lights0.30240.302419,735
t10.2440.24419,735
t_out0.21550.215519,735
rh_10.060520.0605219,735
rv2-0.0092890.00928919,735
rv1-0.0092890.00928919,735
Download the complete result table ↓

THE METHOD

From source to answer

Rank correlations for declared controls and selected real measurements; audit control duplication.

The Python source exposes this study’s transformations. The complete project download includes shared preparation and evaluation routines.

THE NEXT DECISION

What follows from the finding

Use negative controls to question apparent signals before selecting features.

Where the conclusion stops

Measurements come from one home over a limited period. Energy is Wh per recorded 10-minute interval. This is not a representative household sample; tariffs and occupancy labels are unavailable.

Related studies may reuse observations or holdouts. These are historical analyses; associations and backtests do not demonstrate commercial impact. Further model tuning needs new, untouched evaluation data.