INTERACTIVE ANALYSIS / PROJECT 105
Electricity demand planning
How reliably can a household energy planner forecast the next day while preserving missing meter readings and uncertainty?
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Interpretation boundary. This is one historical household, not a utility fleet or current tariff study. Local timestamps lack DST/UTC disambiguation. Incomplete hours are unknown and excluded from scoring. Time dependence undermines exchangeability assumptions behind residual bands. The paired day bootstrap does not preserve dependence between adjacent days. Illustrative tariff comparisons are arithmetic scenarios and show no demand-shifting savings. Methods and evaluation ↗